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congressman. and pat caddell, former pollster for jimmy carter. and doug schoen former pollster for bill clinton. doug, the numbers you saw on the screen, since the conventions, the president has gained four and romney has lost two, a swing of six points. >> that is where the race is. there are some polls in the swing states showing outsize leaps for obama the ink they are over sampling democrats and the mainstream media is away from what the race is. that is, a close contest. the president is about 48 or 49 percent approval and vote share. the governor's campaign has lost support. he is down around 43 percent. the 47 percent combined with the drift in the campaign has reduced his vote share, but it is still a a race, and the debate will be critical. >>gregg: this poll shows president obama at 49 and 44 and that can chain instantly. some of the media have written governor romney's obituary, this is premature. >> the media polls, the mainstream media uses the state polls like the new form of negative advertising. other negative campaigning against romney. the news organizations that are b
voters actually go to the polls? james rosen takes a closer look at the 1980 faceoff between jimmy carter and ronald reagan for a little perspective for us. gregg: plus, he earned a law degree, he passed the bar exam, but this young man came to the country when he was 9 years old and became an illegal immigrant. can the state deny him a law license because of his legal status? [ male announcer ] this is sheldo whose long day setting up the news starts with arthritis pain and a choice. take tylenol or take aleve, the #1 recommended pain reliever by orthopedic doctors. just two aleve can keep pain away all day. back to the news. by the armful? by the barrelful? the carful? how about...by the bowlful? campbell's soups give you nutrition, energy, and can help you keep a healthy weight. campbell's. it's amazing what soup can do. gregg: welcome back to america's election headquarters, now, and a look at whether this 2012 race is resembling the presidential election of 1980. who can forget incumbent democratic president, jimmy carter, republican challenger, ronald reagan. from the economy to vol
in the final gallup poll though narrowly lost. in 1980, jimmy carter had consistent advantage in the polls overarmed reagan but the final debate changed everything. polls showing a lead over romney in the key battleground states, democratic pollster who worked for jimmy carter said finding the right example can be tricky. >> we know from the exit polls and others that republicans tend to respond to the polls less than often times. from the news organizations. less than do democrats. >> in 1988, george bush managed a huge swing. dukakis was leading after the democratic convention but lost to bush. in 1992, the incumbent president was down nine points and died with bill clinton but october though clinton eventually won. former pollster questioning the assumption made in today's polls. >> these polls are assuming that you have the same high level of african-american, latino an young people vote in 2012 that you had in 2008. >> they said the public poll are varying in the sampling and methodology so it's hard to make the case when they point in one direction, they're all wrong. but we are plan
, they knew jimmy carter was going to look at ronald reagan and say, "you were against medicare" at the beginning, happened to be true. but reagan looked at him, shook his head and said, "there you go again." it was really a comment not just on that medicare answer but on everything that carter had said. that's when a zinger works. >> schieffer: what do you think the obama people think they're going to hear from romney? >> one thing that's being telegraphed by the romney folks -- and i wouldn't have telegraphed it if this was a question i wanted to ask-- do you want another four years like the last four years. the president has heard that-- >> that's a question people ask. >> i know, but ronald reagan was smart enough not to say are you better off today than you were four years ago until he got to the debate. the president knows that question is going to be asked and he will be prepared to answer it. five of the last six times an incumbent debated a challenger in a debate, the challenger won. >> that's the question they are asking. they know they are not better off from four yea
did against jimmy carter he can immediately become the frontrunner. all things change because of this. >> an attack left four americans dead. still a big talker this morning the white house has come under severe scrutiny for the official version of what happened. the administration originally called it a spontaneous attack. >> a whole lot of folks. >> donald rumsfeld talked to greta about. he slammed the administration for the foreign policy saying it's a failed model. >> i think the foreign policy of this administration for 3 and a half, four years now has been one of a step back in the phrase that came out of the white house to lead from behind. which you can't lead from behind. leaders lead from the front. the economic management of our country has told the world that we are in decline and it was sufficient that the vice president of the united states had to go at the convention and say we are not incal decline. why did he have to say that? it is clear the country is managing its economic apairs faa way that we are modeling them after europe. that's a failed model. >> secretary rum
dynamic of the 1980 race in that jimmy carter was a stumbling ineffective president. >> reporter: fast forward to 1982. george h.w. bush was on the ropes over bill clinton when casper weinberger was imply indicated in the iran/contra scandal shortly before election day. bad news for bush that he did not need. in 2004 a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th just four days before election day in a raz orthin race between president bush and john kerry. three years after 9/11 it served as a reminder of the terrorist threat and strategists in both parties believed helped president bush. more recently the term october surprise has come to mean a seismic event in the fall of an election year though most have centered around foreign policy others have been about the economy like in 2008. when the economy imploded, john mccain's advisers say his campaign collapsed along with it and never recovered. historians say in order for an october surprise to have a real 11th hour impact it has to feed into a narrative that already exist, whether it's carter's ineffect
right now. i'll give you the easiest one of wall. the united states naval academy. jimmy carter. that's pretty easy. the university of michigan which i already mentioned, gerald ford and some pretty. of course the starting quarterback for the navy was roger stop back. and if you think, california, it's pretty easy to come up with stanford for much harder graduated and promote jim and john denver graduated, but starting quarterback in the super bowl. then last one is really hard but have given you a clue. have already said his last name. benjamin harrison who matriculated at miami university of ohio and who is a quarterback , been in office burger of that team purpose per that shall not otherwise be named. so that's a little presidential trivia for you, and i also always give a little mix and stir when i come back. thinking to prepare my remarks when latter is being built. sandino's as well as i do. the real director of the nixon library was richard nixon. he designed and oversaw it and every detail was of interest to him. but probably the thing he was least interested in was a room wh
pollster for president jimmy carter. so fired up. what's that about? >> we are entering territory we have never entered before. we have had over the years the press being more and more biased. the gallup polls the highist has registered in people knowing they are not being told whole story. but we never had a situation where the press has purposely decided to pick up a narrative from the white house to support their overwhelming candidate for president barack obama. this isn't about partisanship. this is about danger. the won't first amendment exists without any checks and balances on the media is because they are supposed to protect the people. not that we are supposed to become a version of pravda. when the "new york times" takes two weeks to run anything on this subject. when we have 20 embassies on the assault after libya and no one runs it on the air in the major networks, we have a problem. megyn: david carr of the new york times wrote a piece, you have got the "wall street journal," you have got fox news, you have got online sources so the cries of media bias are not valid. if the
and ease that ronald reagan projected and jimmy carter looked defensive. that's the impression that often lasts. >> even al gore and george w. bush is a good example of body language so much during those debates. al gore was up in the polls and had a series of very poor debate performances. >> al gore had been a very effe effective, aggressive debater. he was seen in the first debate as too aggressive. the sighs and the rest. in the second debate he was almost too laid back. by the third he had a just right approach by that time. those performances and all the other factors in the 2000 election held him back. >> humor. >> humor can be very important but it's something that has to -- some humorous lines probably are prescripted. there you go again, reagan, most people feel, was prepared. >> remember what lloyd benson said about -- >> yes. >> dan quayle. >> that famous line. i knew jack kennedy. jack kennedy was a friend of mine. senator, you are no jack kennedy. >> i just reread about all the debates, they prepared that line in advance because dan quayle made that comment over and over aga
. >> reporter: in 1980, between ronald reagan and jimmy carter. and lloyd benson's wipe at dan quail in 1988. >> i served with jack kennedy, i knew jack kennedy, jack kennedy was a friend of mine, senator, you're not jack kennedy. >> reporter: then there were the moments that seemed to say momplt and george h.w. bush looking at his wash. governor rick perry's oops remark. romney's high dollar wager. >> a $10 bet? >> and obama's comment about hillary clinton. one thing analyst's agree on. >> he's got two very tough competing goals, be likable and may out a contrast. >> we have gotten to know barack obama pretty well, we have seen anymore as president for four years. mitt romney, he has still got a little white space on his canvass, he can still show us who he is and where he would lead us. >> reporter: the president spends the first part of the week in the battleground state of nevada where he'll be practicing with john kerry, and president obama will be practicing with rob port man who is playing president balm. >>> president obama and milt romney face to face as american voters weigh the ch
ronald reagan did in his debate against jimmy carter. people don't remember all the facts and figures, the recitation of the facts and figures, they remember a significant line or a significant phrase that brings them back to reality. >> senator john mccain is the only man who has debated both of these individuals. he weighed in on the expectations this morning. take a listen. >> serve and provide us -- >> it's not just that they go bankrupt, he doesn't understand -- >> comments that grabbed everybody's attention. because frankly, the candidates are too well prepared. they're well scripted. >> what you did not hear the beginning there, is the senator said i think you're going to see more viewers, than any debate in history. and then he also said he can't remember the last time that any of these things affected the outcome of a presidential race. save 1960 and 2000, have the debates ever really impacted the outcome of a race, chris kofinis? >> it's funny, i hear the debate about debates not necessarily mattering. and i actually disagree with that i think the 1980, the reagan/carter deb
but to be able to delegate enough so you don't get mired down. one of the criticisms of jimmy carter. ronald reagan, they said he didn't pay attention to details. he had the big things right. now that we have gone back, read diaries and letters, we know he did a lot of that work himself, didn't delegate to staff. it was the big ideas. he let staff handle the details. also, you have to be able to manage people. to some extent one of the criticisms i have of president obama is that he has turned too much over to other people and doesn't work well with congress. you need to work well together. >> let me ask you about the relationship with senator mccain. i asked it of senator hutchinson. is it a blessing or curse to have the president or nominee be from your home state. >> john and i represent the same constituency, he will be elected to senate, i will be gone before he will. he is my colleague this entire time. larger than life in many respects. that has its plus and minuses, he is playing the national issues, i am doing a lot of things that relate to the state. he is very good when he focuses
produce some memorable lines. like in 1980, between then-governor ronald reagan and president jimmy carter. >> there you go again. >> reporter: and lloyd bentsen's swipe at fellow senator dan quayle in 1988. >> i served with jack kennedy. i knew jack kennedy. jack kennedy was a friend of mine. senator, you're no jack kennedy. >> reporter: and then there are the moments that seemed to say more. like president george h.w. bush looking at his watch in a 1992 debate with bill clinton. >> i can't. >> reporter: texas governor rick perry's oops remark. >> oops. >> rick, i'll tell you what -- >> reporter: romney's high-dollar wager. >> $10,000 bet? >> reporter: and obama's comments to then-rival hillary clinton in 2008. >> you're not old enough to remember that. >> reporter: one thing analysts agree on, the debates may be romney's big chance. >> he's got two very tough competing goals, be likable and lay out a contrast. it's hard to be likable when you're the attack dog. >> we've gotten to know barack obama pretty well. we've seen this president for four years. there's not a lot of room left on hi
is on for the greatest pumpkin of them all. >> who's birthday is it when it comes to celebrities? former president jimmy carter is 88. julie andrews is 77. >> actor randy quaid saved the day in independence day is 62. he made us laugh in the hangover in the campaign actor z. galifinaakis is 43. >>> good morning. welcome back to 9 news now. our time is 5:46. a chilly start to the week. a new start to a month. get us going, howard. >> we'll be dry this morning. some patchy fog out there. looking pretty out there in the afternoons lately with the leaves turning colors. this afternoon maybe not as pretty with clouds rolling in and potentially a shower or two before the day is over of the here's your bus stop forecast. we have the patchy fog. i'm saying grab a jacket. low to mid-40s in the outer suburbs. we're sitting in the low to mid- 50s with sunrise not until 7:04. it's early november once we get into the daylight saving time. by lunch time mostly cloudy, 67. we're going to struggle to get to 72 for the high this afternoon with a 5:00 p.m. reading of 67. by then there could be a couple of showers around
delegate mchenry, donald mchenry publicly said he read the resolution to jimmy carter, and jimmy carter instructed him to vote for it. so that's how i know this. >> so there have been at least this one ab rate presidential election in which jews voted in a divergent way, do either of you think we might see that kind of a dip for 2012 or will president obama still maintain the exact same hold he has on jewish americans as a democratic leader? >> i suspect that support is eroding. new yorkers are very important state, tough to say what will happen here. but i think the president wins florida -- loses florida, and loses the jewish support at the level he needs to . >> mayor, is this a possible revisiting of 1980? >> i believe that president obama as candidate got the highest number of jews 87%, which was a second highest group. first being 95% of all blacks. and the reason -- it's not hard you don't have to be a jen yous to understand why. people, not only jews, others as well, were so excited that we would for the first time have an african-american candidate president in the white house.
it will be to abolish the federal department of education. it was established under 979 under jimmy carter -- it was established in 1979 under jimmy carter. each state gets about 11 cents out of every dollar that each state spends. you have to do a, b, c, d. to do that, it costs 16 cetns nts. it costs money to get federal money. give education to the states. 50 laboratories of best practices. we will have some fabulous successes and some horrible failures that would be avoided. 50 different laboratories working on this. i would suggest that we come up with some incredibly innovative, new ways of delivering education in this country. host: our guest is joining us from sante fe, the former governor of new mexico. he is currently the libertarian presidential nominee and is on the ballot in 47 states plus d.c. are you confident you will get those last three states? guest: 0, seems to be the worst of all -- oklahoma seems to be the worst of all. these barriers that been put in place are to the detriment of everyone watching. when not have more voices debating and discussing as opposed to fewer
jimmy carter -- it was established in 1979 under jimmy carter. is there anything that suggests that the department of education has been value added? i would argue no. each state gets about 11 cents out of every dollar that each state spends. you have to do a, b, c, d. here is 11 cents to do that. to do that, it costs 16 cents. what nobody really recognizes is that money. give education to the states. 50 laboratories of best practices. we will have some fabulous successes and some horrible failures that would be avoided. 50 different laboratories working on this. i would suggest that we come up with some incredibly innovative, new ways of delivering education in this country. host: our guest is joining us from sante fe, the formerhe is currently the libertarian presidential nominee and is on the ballot in 47 states plus d.c. he is challenging michigan, oklahoma, and another. are you confident you will get those last three states? guest: 0, seems to be the worst of all -- oklahoma seems to be the worst of all. two out of the three. these barriers that been put in place are to t
was, than jimmy carter was with his party and bush sr. was with his party. energy is hard to measure. the measurements we have show a reaganesque party unity. >> matt has this great piece in the rolling stone where he says the presidential race never, ever should have been this close. the idea that we become like sports announcers. we want the tight game going into the fourth quarter. we want a hail mary pass at the end because it is more exciting. he points out that, in fact, this race is one given both who mitt romney is as a candidate as well as the extremely high support that president obama has within his base should never have been this close at all which goes to your point about sometimes the massive amount of money that's gone into the race to give us a different message about mitt romney. >> i want to add one disagreement to the disagreement. as much as popularity and the figures are up. the difference between 2008 and 2012 is the tea party, which happened in 2010. we know that they are going to be on the ground, up in people's faces and raising hell just like they did aroun
that -- and then certainly by 1980, ronald reagan was very behind in the polls was just able to tidal wave over jimmy carter with quips like there you go again in a sort of staged format. since 1980, they have become part of the american landscape. >> the "new york times" recently wrote about this debate prep and the president of the united states is an awesome figure merely to share the platform with him on equal terms is the gain in stature, good performance will be gauged even better. why would any president agree to participate in an event that ultimately -- the -- because it's become now a demand, president obama suddenly bailed on debates. then, you know, he would be seeming like a poor sport. and also these debates are agreed upon long before the fall season, they're everything from the podium to the lighting, everything is worked out between the parties. >> do you think the presidential debate has ever changed the course of an election? >> i definitely do, i think we just talked about 1960, i think it changed it. i think in 1976, in 1980, i think also one could argue in 2000, it would al gore's kind
basically, killing an american ambassador for the first time since, who? jimmy carter. >> steve: that's right. >> brian: he's get to go look a lot like him. >> gretchen: it was described as a bump in the road, as well as the arab spring. then he sent his spokesperson out to actually call it a terrorist attack. the president himself, interestingly enough, has not used the word, terror. >> oh, my goodness. >> gretchen: is it a deliberate strategy to have it both ways? >> of course it is. it's also a president who has been you've missile insist about terrorism from the very beginning. he said we're not going to say war on terror anymore. except he forgot to tell them they're at war with us. so we get caught by surprise. this is a major scandal. the only reason it isn't played as a major scandal the president has three quarters of the media in the tank. it's a disgrace. it should be a scandal for the washington times, nbc news, cbs news, why the hell aren't they covering it? u.n. ambassador went on television, i went on with her on cnn. i've never heard an ambassador say anything so stupi
bill clinton is doing around the world, what jimmy carter is doing with habitat for humanity. but i just kept can't remember exactly what he has or any other past republican president i've been doing for people, so i think although i would like to see divided government, but i would a democrat in the white house. host: all right. we've got an editorial, or op-ed, rather, from "the new york post" this morning, barack obama, slacker in chief. he writes -- host: you can read more of that in this morning's "new york post" at newyorkpost.com. pam is our next caller. she's on our democrats line, calling from iowa this morning. go ahead, pam. pam, are you there? caller: hello? host: hello. caller: hello. host: hello. caller: hello. host: pam, go ahead. caller: i believe in a two-party system. i believe that the biggest problem right now is priorities and the ability to shell things, and there should be some sort of implementation of appropriate priorities. that way they can't sit there and do, you know, we're going to do abortion, we're going to do contraception. they can't just feed off a
maintain it would be to abolish the federal department of education, established in 1979 under jimmy carter, there is anything from 1979 to suggest that the department of education has been value-add? i would argue know. the federal government gives each state 11 cents out of every cool that the state spends but they tell you have to do a, b, c, and d, and here's 11 cents, and when to accomplish a, b, c, and d, it costs 16 cents. so nobody really recognizes it costs money to take federal money. just get the federal department over education out of education. just get the federal government out of education. give education to the states. 6 -- 50 laboratories. we'll have some fabulous success that will get emulated, failures that get avoided, but 50 different laboratories working on this. i'm going to suggest that, really, we come up with some incredibly innovative new ways of delivering education in this country. >> host: our guest is joining us from santa fe, live this morning, gary johnson, the former governor of new mexico, as a republican, 1995 to 2003. he is currently the libertarian pr
calls a jimmy carter strategy to try to make the president seem weak on defense here in the final month of the campaign. mainly based on what happened in libya. it seems that governor romney is going to go all out and double down on exploiting the tragic death of ambassador stevens to make the president look terrible at foreign policy despite his successful record of it. do you think that's a game changer for mitt romney? can he use this tragedy to try to make the president an object of scorn? >> well, first of all the tricky thing there is that there is a debate that's on foreign policy. the last of the three debates they'll have. so he has two debates in between now and then that are going to be mostly focused on the economy and their domestic issues. that being said, there is a potential it would seem to make some hay out of the administration's changing story or at least incomplete story that they have given along the way about what happened in benghazi, whether it was a terrorist attack, whether it was something t
. it's like ronald reagan against jimmy carter. reagan was behind when he started to debate carter, but he made carter almost look small. reagan was larger than life. he came across as authoritative, yet accessible, and if i were rom anything, i'd be watching those reagan tapes every hour on the hour. >> the word on the street is that he has been doing a ton of preparation, of course, but also looking for zingers, one-liners to nail the president with. do you think that's a good idea? >> you know, look, i'm doing a debate with jon stewart on saturday in washington, and i'm sure stewart is going to have zingers all over the place, but if you come in with zingers, you sound stilted, all right. they have to just owe car to you, so if stewart says something dumb which is almost a given, i'm going to pop him, all right. but i don't know how, and so romney's got to have enough confidence in his intellectual acumen to get in there, but if he comes in with all this rehearsed stuff, he's just going to come across as a samb by. >> how do you feel about what the polls say right now? do you th
freeing the hostages. >> it fed into the whole dynamic of the 1980 race in the sense that jimmy carter was a stumbling, ineffective president. >> reporter: fast forward to 1992. president george h.w. bush was already on the ropes against bill clinton over a sluggish economy. when casper weinberger was implicated in the iran-contra scandal shortly before election day. bad news that bush, who served as reagan's vice president, did not need. in 2004, a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th, just four days before election day, in a razor thing race between president bush and john kerry. three years after 9/11, it served as a reminder of the terrorist threat and strategists in both parties believe had helped president bush. more recently, the term october surprise has come to mean a seismic event in the fall of an election year. most have centered around foreign policy, others have been about the economy, like in 2008. when the economy imploded, john mccain's advisers say his campaign collapsed along with it and never recovered. historians say in order f
into the whole dynamic of the 1980 race in the sense that jimmy carter was a stumbling, ineffective president. >> fast forward to 1992, president jhw bush was on the ropes against bill clinton over a sluggish economy when ronald laying an's defense secretary was -- bad news that bush, who served as reagan's vice president did not need. >>> in 2004, a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th, just four days before election day in a razor-thin race between president bush and john kerry. >>> it served as a reminder of the terrorist threat and strategists in both parties believed helped president bush. >> the term october surprise has become a seismic event. most centered around foreign policy, others have been around the economy, like in 2008. when the economy imploded, john mccain's advisers say his campaign collapsed with it and never recovered. historians say for an october surprise to have an 11th hour impact, it has to feed into a narrative that already exists, whether carter's ineffectiveness or mccain. >> it's not yur reek a. this is a so surprising, so a
call for sacrifice was ridiculed for it. that president, jimmy carter suggested only that we turn down our thermostats a tad and guzzle a bit less gas. then came ronald reagan who's man great contributions to america were coupled with less great ones, including idea, which has dominate ourd political discourse ever since, that we should speak only of morning in mark and that optimism, like virtue, is its own rewar. it isn't, not if it's crowds out realism. >> let's not read the whole article. you talked to erskine bowles? >> about this? >> i'm saying we talked to him. you talked to erskine bowles, bill clinton's former chief of staff who's in the debt commission. he's scared. he's scared to death. >> about the things we can't say. >> about the fiscal cliff. what we can't say about taxes, what we can't say about cutting the taxes, what we can't say about medicate. >> you can't tell voters they're going to feel pain for anything. >> either side. >> we're not talked to as adults. we're talked to as children, which is our own fault because that's what we've shown here. when you listen to b
as the vice president. you see in the carter/reagan clip, jimmy carter does not look like he is left in a number of days. i've read the other day that the reagan people, after they did run through of the stage and how it was set up, there was a clear that would make re did not look good either. they measured of blue mat to cut the flare from overhead lights so that reagan will look really good. take ou >> this was a campaign that paid attention to every single detail, and it worked. >> i do not know who said this, but the observation of a particle changes the nature of the particle. it is very rare for someone to look good on television, unless there is massive preparation. i think now the television is with us 24 hours a day. there are no longer any two news cycles, it is 24 hours a day. it is very difficult for politicians or anyone else to look absolutely perfect, because the television camera is neutral. it shows good, bad, and indifferent. >> are we more expecting that sort of examination or revelation of the personal tax and peccadilloes -- ticks and peccadilloes? there were ti
Search Results 0 to 46 of about 47 (some duplicates have been removed)

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